Impact of econometric modeling and perspectives of economic security of the cross-industry complex
Article history: Received 13 February 2023, Received in revised form 6 March 2023, Accepted 7 March 2023, Available online 9 March 2023.
Anastasiia Liezina, Alexandr Lavruk, Halyna Matviienko, Iryna Ivanets, Oleksii Tseluiko, Oksana Kuchai
The paper presents a forecast of the economic security of the inter-industry complex through the construction of a simulation model. The authors considered the possibility of using an econometric model in predicting the level of economic security of the inter-industry complex. The goal was to form a definition of the definition of "inter-industry complex", as well as to study the issues of conceptual and fundamental methods of econometric modeling and forecasting the development of regional industry markets in dynamics. A range of issues related to the main components of economic security in the inter-industry complex has been allocated for scientific work in order to analyze the impact of the components of economic security on the integral indicator. The paper uses a methodology for predicting the structural and spatio-temporal dynamics of interbranch complexes, which includes new and refined methods of modeling and forecasting. As a result, the authors proposed the definition of "inter-industry complex", "economic security in the inter-industry complex", as well as the general provisions of the methodology for econometric modeling and forecasting the level of economic security of the inter-industry complex. The paper presents a full-scale simulation model that allows you to set, evaluate and make a decision using large nonlinear data. This kind of system contains dynamic and retarded data, which makes it possible to apply econometric modeling in automatic calculation.
economic security, intersectoral complex, econometric model, forecasting