47_7
Impact of econometric modeling and perspectives of economic security of the cross-industry complex
Article history: Received 13 February 2023, Received in revised form 6 March 2023, Accepted 7 March 2023, Available online 9 March 2023.
Authors
Anastasiia Liezina, Alexandr Lavruk, Halyna Matviienko, Iryna Ivanets, Oleksii Tseluiko, Oksana Kuchai
pages: 73-83
Abstract
The paper presents a forecast of the economic security of the inter-industry complex through the construction of a simulation model. The authors considered the possibility of using an econometric model in predicting the level of economic security of the inter-industry complex. The goal was to form a definition of the definition of "inter-industry complex", as well as to study the issues of conceptual and fundamental methods of econometric modeling and forecasting the development of regional industry markets in dynamics. A range of issues related to the main components of economic security in the inter-industry complex has been allocated for scientific work in order to analyze the impact of the components of economic security on the integral indicator. The paper uses a methodology for predicting the structural and spatio-temporal dynamics of interbranch complexes, which includes new and refined methods of modeling and forecasting. As a result, the authors proposed the definition of "inter-industry complex", "economic security in the inter-industry complex", as well as the general provisions of the methodology for econometric modeling and forecasting the level of economic security of the inter-industry complex. The paper presents a full-scale simulation model that allows you to set, evaluate and make a decision using large nonlinear data. This kind of system contains dynamic and retarded data, which makes it possible to apply econometric modeling in automatic calculation.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.32933/ActaInnovations.47.7
Keywords
economic security, intersectoral complex, econometric model, forecasting
